What You Need to Know: 2022 Midterm Election

Following the conclusion of the 2022 Primary Election Cycle on September 14^th, this post has been updated with all competitive House and Senate races.

On November 8th, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats will be up for reelection. Democrats, fighting political headwinds, will look to keep their control of Congress. Democrats currently have a slim edge in the House, following the New York and Alaska Special Elections, Democrats now have a 222 to 212 seat advantage. Republicans need to net just six seats to retain control. With a favorable congressional map, Republicans are poised to win back the House of Representatives. However, with the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned abortion rights precedent set in Roe v. Wade, House Democrats are betting on an energized base to help them retain control of the House.

With the Senate split in a 50-50 tie, both parties need to net one seat to retain control. Swing seats from the 2020 election, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, all have Senate seats that are in play.

See below for everything you need to know heading into the 2022 Midterm Elections, including all of the retiring Members of the House and Senate, the Primary Election calendar, and ratings for all Senate and House seats.

Retiring House Democrats – Total Retiring House Democrats: 24

Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-02)
Rep. Cheri Bustos (IL-17)
Rep. David Price (NC-04)
Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson (TX-30)
Rep. Filemon Vela (TX-34)
Rep. G.K. Butterfield (NC-01)
Rep. Jackie Speier (CA-14)
Rep. John Yarmuth (KY-03)
Rep. Mike Doyle (PA-17)
Rep. Ron Kind (WI-03)
Rep. Peter DeFazio (OR-03)
Rep. Alan Lowenthal (CA-47)
Rep. Albio Sires (NJ-08)
Rep. Stephanie Murphy (FL-07)
Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA-40)
Rep. Bobby Rush (IL-01)
Rep. Brenda Lawrence (MI-14)
Rep. Ed Perlmutter (CO-07)
Rep. Jerry McNerney (CA-09)
Rep. Jim Langevin (RI-02)
Rep. Jim Cooper (TN-05)
Rep. Kathleen Rice (NY-04)
Rep. Ted Deutch (FL-22)
Rep. Filemon Vela (TX-34)

Retiring Senate Democrats – Total Retiring Senate Democrats: 1

Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)

Democrats Running for New Office – Total Democrats Running for New Office: 10

Rep. Connor Lamb (PA-17) – Ran for Open PA Senate Seat, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Val Demings (FL-10) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Tim Ryan (OH-13) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Anthony Brown (MD-04) – Running for Attorney General of Maryland, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Karen Bass (CA-37) – Running for Mayor of Los Angeles
Rep. Charlie Crist (FL-13) – Running for Governor of Florida, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Tom Suozzi (NY-03) – Running for Governor of New York, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Peter Welch (VT-00) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Kai Kahele (HI-02) – Running for Governor, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Antonio Delgado (NY-19) – Appointed Lt Governor of NY

Retiring House Republicans – Total Retiring House Republicans: 15

Rep. Adam Kinzinger (IL-16)
Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (OH-16)
Rep. Kevin Brady (TX-08)
Rep. Tom Reed (NY-23)
Rep. Devin Nunes (CA-22)
Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (IN-09)
Rep. John Katko (NY-24)
Rep. Jim Hagedorn (MN-01) – Died in Office
Rep. Fred Keller (PA-12)
Rep. Van Taylor (TX-03)
Rep. Fred Upton (MI-06)
Rep. Bob Gibbs (OH-07)
Rep. Tom Reed (NY-23)
Rep. Don Young (AK-00) – Died in Office
Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (NE-01)
Rep. Jackie Walorski (IN-02) – Died in Office

Retiring Senate Republicans – Total Retiring Senate Republicans: 6

Sen. Richard Shelby (AL)
Sen. Richard Burr (NC)
Sen. Roy Blunt (MO)
Sen. Pat Toomey (PA)
Sen. Rob Portman (OH)
Sen. Jim Inhofe (OK) – Ending term early

Republicans Running for New Office – Total Republicans Running for New Office: 8

Rep. Jody Hice (GA-10) – Running for Georgia Secretary of State, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Lee Zeldin (NY-01) – Running for Governor of New York, Won Republican Nomination
Rep. Billy Long (MO-07) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Vicky Hartzler (MO-04) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Ted Budd (NC-13) – Running for Senate, Won Republican Nomination
Rep. Mo Brooks (AL-05) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Louie Gohmert (TX-01) – Running for Attorney General, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Markwayne Mullin (OK-03) – Running for Senate, Won Republican Nomination

2022 Primary Election Calendar

STATE	PRIMARY DATE	STATE	PRIMARY DATE	STATE	PRIMARY DATE
テキサス	1-Mar	カリフォルニア	7-Jun	アリゾナ	2-Aug
インディアナ	3-May	アイオワ	7-Jun	カンザス	2-Aug
オハイオ州	3-May	ミシシッピ	7-Jun	ミシガン州	2-Aug
ネブラスカ	10-May	Montana	7-Jun	ミズーリ	2-Aug
West Virginia	10-May	ニュージャージー州	7-Jun	ワシントン	2-Aug
Idaho	17-May	New Mexico	7-Jun	テネシー州	4-Aug
Kentucky	17-May	South Dakota	7-Jun	コネチカット州	9-Aug
ノースカロライナ	17-May	メイン州	14-Jun	ミネソタ	9-Aug
Oregon	17-May	Nevada	14-Jun	Vermont	9-Aug
ペンシルバニア	17-May	North Dakota	14-Jun	ウィスコンシン州	9-Aug
アラバマ州	24-May	サウスカロライナ州	14-Jun	Hawaii	13-Aug
アーカンソー州	24-May	コロンビア特別区	21-Jun	アラスカ	16-Aug
グルジア	24-May	バージニア州	21-Jun	Wyoming	16-Aug
		コロラド州	28-Jun	フロリダ	23-Aug
		イリノイ州	28-Jun	マサチューセッツ	6-Sep
		メリーランド州	28-Jun	デラウェア	13-Sep
		ニューヨーク	28-Jun	ニューハンプシャー	13-Sep
		Oklahoma	28-Jun	ロードアイランド	13-Sep
		ユタ州	28-Jun	Louisiana	8-Nov

2022 Senate Election Outlook – Source: Cook Political Report

STATE	INCUMBENT	RATING	STATE	INCUMBENT	RATING
アリゾナ	Mark Kelly	Toss-Up	アラスカ	Lisa Murkowski	Strong Republican
カリフォルニア	Alex Padilla	Strong Democrat	アーカンソー州	John Boozman	Strong Republican
コロラド州	Michael Bennet	Likely Democrat	フロリダ	Marco Rubio	Lean Republican
コネチカット州	Richard Blumenthal	Strong Democrat	Idaho	Mike Crapo	Strong Republican
グルジア	Raphael Warnock	Toss-up	インディアナ	Todd Young	Strong Republican
Hawaii	Brian Schatz	Strong Democrat	アイオワ	Chuck Grassley	Strong Republican
イリノイ州	Tammy Duckworth	Strong Democrat	カンザス	Jerry Moran	Strong Republican
メリーランド州	Chris Van Hollen	Strong Democrat	Kentucky	Rand Paul	Strong Republican
Nevada	Catherine Cortez Masto	Toss-up	Louisiana	John Kennedy	Strong Republican
ニューハンプシャー	Maggie Hassan	Lean Democrat	North Dakota	John Hoeven	Strong Republican
ニューヨーク	Chuck Schumer	Strong Democrat	Oklahoma	James Lankford	Strong Republican
Oregon	Ron Wyden	Strong Democrat	サウスカロライナ州	Tim Scott	Strong Republican
アリゾナ	Mark Kelly	Lean Democrat	South Dakota	John Thune	Strong Republican
ワシントン	Patty Murray	Strong Democrat	ユタ州	Mike Lee	Strong Republican
Vermont	Open	Strong Democrat	ウィスコンシン州	Ron Johnson	Toss-up
			アラバマ州	Open	Strong Republican
			ミズーリ	Open	Strong Republican
			ノースカロライナ	Open	Lean Republican
			オハイオ州	Open	Lean Republican
			ペンシルバニア	Open	Lean Democrat
			Oklahoma	Open	Strong Republican

House Ratings for Democratic and Republican Seats – Sources: Cook Political Report, 538 Election Forecast

Lean Democratic Seats Outlook – 16 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
CA-09	Rep. Josh Harder (D)	D, +5
CA-47	Rep. Katie Porter (D)	D, +3
CA-49	Rep. Mike Levin (D)	D, +3
CT-05	Rep. Jahana Hayes (D)	D, +3
IL-06	Merged Seat – Rep. Sean Casten (D)	D, +3
IL-13	Open Seat – Nikki Budzinski (D), Republican Not Yet Called	D, +3
MI-03	Open Seat – Hillary Scholten (D), John Gibbs (R)	D, +1
NC-01	Open Seat: State Sen. Don Davis (D), Sandy Smith (R)	D, +2
NH-02	Rep. Ann Kuster (D)	D, +2
NY-03	Open Seat – Robert Zimmerman (D), George Santos (R)	D, +2
NY-17	Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	D, +3
NY-18	Open Seat – Rep. Pat Ryan (D), Colin Schmitt (R)	D, +1
OR-04	Open Seat – Val Hoyle (D), Alek Skarlatos (R)	D, +4
OR-06	New Seat – Andrea Salinas (D), Mike Erickson (R)	D, +4
TX-34	Merged Seat – Rep. Mayra Flores (R)	D, +9
VA-07	Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D)	D, +1

Toss-up Democratic Seats Outlook – 25 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
AK-AL	Rep. Mary Pelota (D)	R, +8
CA-13	Open Seat: State Rep. Adam Gray (D), John Duarte (R)	D, +4
IL-17	Open Seat – Eric Sorenson (D), Esther Joy King (R)	D, +2
IN-01	Rep. Frank Mrvan (D)	D, +3
KS-03	Rep. Sharice Davids (D)	R, +1
ME-02	Rep. Jared Golden (D)	R, +6
MI-07	Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)	R, +2
MI-08	Rep. Dan Kildee (D)	R, +1
MN-02	Rep. Angie Craig (D)	D, +1
NH-01	Rep. Chris Pappas (D)	Even
NV-01	Rep. Dina Titus (D)	D, +3
NV-03	Rep. Susie Lee (D)	D, +1
NV-04	Rep. Steven Horsford (D)	D, +3
NY-19	Open Seat – Josh Riley (D), Marc Molinaro (R)	R, +3
NV-04	Rep. Steven Horsford (D)	D, +3
OH-09	Rep. Mary Kaptur (D)	R, +3
OH-13	Open Seat: State Rep. Emilia Sykes (D), Madison Gesiotto (R)	R, +1
OR-05	Open Seat: Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D), Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R)	D, +2
PA-08	Rep. Matt Cartwright (D)	R, +4
PA-17	Open Seat: Chris Deluzio (D), Jeremy Shaffer (R)	Even
RI-02	Open Seat – Seth Magaziner (D), Allan Fung (R)	D, +4
TX-28	Rep. Henry Cuellar (D)	D, +3
VA-02	Rep. Elaine Luria (D)	R, +2
WA-08	Rep. Kim Schrier (D)	D, +1

Toss-up Republican Seats Outlook – 8 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
CA-22	Rep. David Valadao (R)	D, +5
CA-27	Rep. Mike Garcia (R)	D, +4
CO-08	Open Seat – Yadira Caraveo (D), Barbara Kirkmeyer (R)	Even
NC-13	Open Seat: State Sen. Wiley Nickel (D), Bo Hines (R)	R, +2
NE-02	Rep. Don Bacon (R)	Even
NM-02	Rep. Yvette Herrell (R)	D, +1
NY-22	Open Seat –Brandon Williams (R), Francis Conole (D)	D, +1
OH-01	Rep. Steve Chabot (R)	D, +2

Lean Republican Seats Outlook – 11 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
AZ-01	Rep. David Schweikert (R)	R, +2
AZ-06	Open Seat – Kirsten Engel (D), Juan Ciscomani (R)	R, +3
CA-41	Rep. Kevin Calvert (R)	R, +3
CA-45	Rep. Michelle Steel (R)	D, +2
IA-03	Rep. Cindy Axne (D)	R, +3
NJ-07	Rep. Tom Malinowski (D)	R, +1
NY-01	Open Seat – Nicholas LaLota (R), Bridget Fleming (R)	R, +3
PA-07	Rep. Susan Wild (D)	R, +2
TX-15	Open Seat – Michelle Vallejo (D), Monica De La Cruz (R)	D, +1
WA-03	Open Seat – Joe Kent (R), Marie Perez (D)	R, +5
WI-03	Open Seat – Derrick Van Orden (R), Brad Pfaff (D)	R, +4

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What You Need to Know: 2022 Midterm Election

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