What You Need to Know: 2022 Midterm Election

Following the conclusion of the 2022 Primary Election Cycle on September 14^th, this post has been updated with all competitive House and Senate races.

On November 8th, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats will be up for reelection. Democrats, fighting political headwinds, will look to keep their control of Congress. Democrats currently have a slim edge in the House, following the New York and Alaska Special Elections, Democrats now have a 222 to 212 seat advantage. Republicans need to net just six seats to retain control. With a favorable congressional map, Republicans are poised to win back the House of Representatives. However, with the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned abortion rights precedent set in Roe v. Wade, House Democrats are betting on an energized base to help them retain control of the House.

With the Senate split in a 50-50 tie, both parties need to net one seat to retain control. Swing seats from the 2020 election, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, all have Senate seats that are in play.

See below for everything you need to know heading into the 2022 Midterm Elections, including all of the retiring Members of the House and Senate, the Primary Election calendar, and ratings for all Senate and House seats.

Retiring House Democrats – Total Retiring House Democrats: 24

Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-02)
Rep. Cheri Bustos (IL-17)
Rep. David Price (NC-04)
Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson (TX-30)
Rep. Filemon Vela (TX-34)
Rep. G.K. Butterfield (NC-01)
Rep. Jackie Speier (CA-14)
Rep. John Yarmuth (KY-03)
Rep. Mike Doyle (PA-17)
Rep. Ron Kind (WI-03)
Rep. Peter DeFazio (OR-03)
Rep. Alan Lowenthal (CA-47)
Rep. Albio Sires (NJ-08)
Rep. Stephanie Murphy (FL-07)
Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA-40)
Rep. Bobby Rush (IL-01)
Rep. Brenda Lawrence (MI-14)
Rep. Ed Perlmutter (CO-07)
Rep. Jerry McNerney (CA-09)
Rep. Jim Langevin (RI-02)
Rep. Jim Cooper (TN-05)
Rep. Kathleen Rice (NY-04)
Rep. Ted Deutch (FL-22)
Rep. Filemon Vela (TX-34)

Retiring Senate Democrats – Total Retiring Senate Democrats: 1

Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)

Democrats Running for New Office – Total Democrats Running for New Office: 10

Rep. Connor Lamb (PA-17) – Ran for Open PA Senate Seat, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Val Demings (FL-10) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Tim Ryan (OH-13) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Anthony Brown (MD-04) – Running for Attorney General of Maryland, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Karen Bass (CA-37) – Running for Mayor of Los Angeles
Rep. Charlie Crist (FL-13) – Running for Governor of Florida, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Tom Suozzi (NY-03) – Running for Governor of New York, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Peter Welch (VT-00) – Running for Senate, Won Democratic Nomination
Rep. Kai Kahele (HI-02) – Running for Governor, Lost Democratic Nomination
Rep. Antonio Delgado (NY-19) – Appointed Lt Governor of NY

Retiring House Republicans – Total Retiring House Republicans: 15

Rep. Adam Kinzinger (IL-16)
Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (OH-16)
Rep. Kevin Brady (TX-08)
Rep. Tom Reed (NY-23)
Rep. Devin Nunes (CA-22)
Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (IN-09)
Rep. John Katko (NY-24)
Rep. Jim Hagedorn (MN-01) – Died in Office
Rep. Fred Keller (PA-12)
Rep. Van Taylor (TX-03)
Rep. Fred Upton (MI-06)
Rep. Bob Gibbs (OH-07)
Rep. Tom Reed (NY-23)
Rep. Don Young (AK-00) – Died in Office
Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (NE-01)
Rep. Jackie Walorski (IN-02) – Died in Office

Retiring Senate Republicans – Total Retiring Senate Republicans: 6

Sen. Richard Shelby (AL)
Sen. Richard Burr (NC)
Sen. Roy Blunt (MO)
Sen. Pat Toomey (PA)
Sen. Rob Portman (OH)
Sen. Jim Inhofe (OK) – Ending term early

Republicans Running for New Office – Total Republicans Running for New Office: 8

Rep. Jody Hice (GA-10) – Running for Georgia Secretary of State, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Lee Zeldin (NY-01) – Running for Governor of New York, Won Republican Nomination
Rep. Billy Long (MO-07) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Vicky Hartzler (MO-04) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Ted Budd (NC-13) – Running for Senate, Won Republican Nomination
Rep. Mo Brooks (AL-05) – Running for Senate, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Louie Gohmert (TX-01) – Running for Attorney General, Lost Republican Nomination
Rep. Markwayne Mullin (OK-03) – Running for Senate, Won Republican Nomination

2022 Primary Election Calendar

STATE	PRIMARY DATE	STATE	PRIMARY DATE	STATE	PRIMARY DATE
Texas	1-Mar	California	7-Jun	Arizona	2-Aug
Indiana	3-May	Iowa	7-Jun	Kansas	2-Aug
Ohio	3-May	Mississippi	7-Jun	Michigan	2-Aug
Nebraska	10-May	Montana	7-Jun	Missouri	2-Aug
West Virginia	10-May	New Jersey	7-Jun	Washington	2-Aug
Idaho	17-May	New Mexico	7-Jun	Tennessee	4-Aug
Kentucky	17-May	South Dakota	7-Jun	Connecticut	9-Aug
North Carolina	17-May	Maine	14-Jun	Minnesota	9-Aug
Oregon	17-May	Nevada	14-Jun	Vermont	9-Aug
Pennsylvania	17-May	North Dakota	14-Jun	Wisconsin	9-Aug
Alabama	24-May	South Carolina	14-Jun	Hawaii	13-Aug
Arkansas	24-May	District of Columbia	21-Jun	Alaska	16-Aug
Georgia	24-May	Virginia	21-Jun	Wyoming	16-Aug
		Colorado	28-Jun	Florida	23-Aug
		Illinois	28-Jun	Massachusetts	6-Sep
		Maryland	28-Jun	Delaware	13-Sep
		New York	28-Jun	New Hampshire	13-Sep
		Oklahoma	28-Jun	Rhode Island	13-Sep
		Utah	28-Jun	Louisiana	8-Nov

2022 Senate Election Outlook – Source: Cook Political Report

STATE	INCUMBENT	RATING	STATE	INCUMBENT	RATING
Arizona	Mark Kelly	Toss-Up	Alaska	Lisa Murkowski	Strong Republican
California	Alex Padilla	Strong Democrat	Arkansas	John Boozman	Strong Republican
Colorado	Michael Bennet	Likely Democrat	Florida	Marco Rubio	Lean Republican
Connecticut	Richard Blumenthal	Strong Democrat	Idaho	Mike Crapo	Strong Republican
Georgia	Raphael Warnock	Toss-up	Indiana	Todd Young	Strong Republican
Hawaii	Brian Schatz	Strong Democrat	Iowa	Chuck Grassley	Strong Republican
Illinois	Tammy Duckworth	Strong Democrat	Kansas	Jerry Moran	Strong Republican
Maryland	Chris Van Hollen	Strong Democrat	Kentucky	Rand Paul	Strong Republican
Nevada	Catherine Cortez Masto	Toss-up	Louisiana	John Kennedy	Strong Republican
New Hampshire	Maggie Hassan	Lean Democrat	North Dakota	John Hoeven	Strong Republican
New York	Chuck Schumer	Strong Democrat	Oklahoma	James Lankford	Strong Republican
Oregon	Ron Wyden	Strong Democrat	South Carolina	Tim Scott	Strong Republican
Arizona	Mark Kelly	Lean Democrat	South Dakota	John Thune	Strong Republican
Washington	Patty Murray	Strong Democrat	Utah	Mike Lee	Strong Republican
Vermont	Open	Strong Democrat	Wisconsin	Ron Johnson	Toss-up
			Alabama	Open	Strong Republican
			Missouri	Open	Strong Republican
			North Carolina	Open	Lean Republican
			Ohio	Open	Lean Republican
			Pennsylvania	Open	Lean Democrat
			Oklahoma	Open	Strong Republican

House Ratings for Democratic and Republican Seats – Sources: Cook Political Report, 538 Election Forecast

Lean Democratic Seats Outlook – 16 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
CA-09	Rep. Josh Harder (D)	D, +5
CA-47	Rep. Katie Porter (D)	D, +3
CA-49	Rep. Mike Levin (D)	D, +3
CT-05	Rep. Jahana Hayes (D)	D, +3
IL-06	Merged Seat – Rep. Sean Casten (D)	D, +3
IL-13	Open Seat – Nikki Budzinski (D), Republican Not Yet Called	D, +3
MI-03	Open Seat – Hillary Scholten (D), John Gibbs (R)	D, +1
NC-01	Open Seat: State Sen. Don Davis (D), Sandy Smith (R)	D, +2
NH-02	Rep. Ann Kuster (D)	D, +2
NY-03	Open Seat – Robert Zimmerman (D), George Santos (R)	D, +2
NY-17	Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D)	D, +3
NY-18	Open Seat – Rep. Pat Ryan (D), Colin Schmitt (R)	D, +1
OR-04	Open Seat – Val Hoyle (D), Alek Skarlatos (R)	D, +4
OR-06	New Seat – Andrea Salinas (D), Mike Erickson (R)	D, +4
TX-34	Merged Seat – Rep. Mayra Flores (R)	D, +9
VA-07	Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D)	D, +1

Toss-up Democratic Seats Outlook – 25 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
AK-AL	Rep. Mary Pelota (D)	R, +8
CA-13	Open Seat: State Rep. Adam Gray (D), John Duarte (R)	D, +4
IL-17	Open Seat – Eric Sorenson (D), Esther Joy King (R)	D, +2
IN-01	Rep. Frank Mrvan (D)	D, +3
KS-03	Rep. Sharice Davids (D)	R, +1
ME-02	Rep. Jared Golden (D)	R, +6
MI-07	Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)	R, +2
MI-08	Rep. Dan Kildee (D)	R, +1
MN-02	Rep. Angie Craig (D)	D, +1
NH-01	Rep. Chris Pappas (D)	Even
NV-01	Rep. Dina Titus (D)	D, +3
NV-03	Rep. Susie Lee (D)	D, +1
NV-04	Rep. Steven Horsford (D)	D, +3
NY-19	Open Seat – Josh Riley (D), Marc Molinaro (R)	R, +3
NV-04	Rep. Steven Horsford (D)	D, +3
OH-09	Rep. Mary Kaptur (D)	R, +3
OH-13	Open Seat: State Rep. Emilia Sykes (D), Madison Gesiotto (R)	R, +1
OR-05	Open Seat: Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D), Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R)	D, +2
PA-08	Rep. Matt Cartwright (D)	R, +4
PA-17	Open Seat: Chris Deluzio (D), Jeremy Shaffer (R)	Even
RI-02	Open Seat – Seth Magaziner (D), Allan Fung (R)	D, +4
TX-28	Rep. Henry Cuellar (D)	D, +3
VA-02	Rep. Elaine Luria (D)	R, +2
WA-08	Rep. Kim Schrier (D)	D, +1

Toss-up Republican Seats Outlook – 8 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
CA-22	Rep. David Valadao (R)	D, +5
CA-27	Rep. Mike Garcia (R)	D, +4
CO-08	Open Seat – Yadira Caraveo (D), Barbara Kirkmeyer (R)	Even
NC-13	Open Seat: State Sen. Wiley Nickel (D), Bo Hines (R)	R, +2
NE-02	Rep. Don Bacon (R)	Even
NM-02	Rep. Yvette Herrell (R)	D, +1
NY-22	Open Seat –Brandon Williams (R), Francis Conole (D)	D, +1
OH-01	Rep. Steve Chabot (R)	D, +2

Lean Republican Seats Outlook – 11 Total Seats

District	Incumbent – If Applicable	Poll Rating
AZ-01	Rep. David Schweikert (R)	R, +2
AZ-06	Open Seat – Kirsten Engel (D), Juan Ciscomani (R)	R, +3
CA-41	Rep. Kevin Calvert (R)	R, +3
CA-45	Rep. Michelle Steel (R)	D, +2
IA-03	Rep. Cindy Axne (D)	R, +3
NJ-07	Rep. Tom Malinowski (D)	R, +1
NY-01	Open Seat – Nicholas LaLota (R), Bridget Fleming (R)	R, +3
PA-07	Rep. Susan Wild (D)	R, +2
TX-15	Open Seat – Michelle Vallejo (D), Monica De La Cruz (R)	D, +1
WA-03	Open Seat – Joe Kent (R), Marie Perez (D)	R, +5
WI-03	Open Seat – Derrick Van Orden (R), Brad Pfaff (D)	R, +4